Initiated by unresolved tensions after World War I, the rise of Fascism in Europe and the militarization of Japan. World War II began on 1 September 1939, with the German invasion of Poland, followed by declarations of war from the United Kingdom and France. In June 1941, Germany launched Operation Barbarossa, invading the Soviet Union and opening the Eastern Front. The Soviet summer offensive of 1942 saw the Red Army abandon Voronezh in favor of a deeper defensive posture along the Don, trading territory for time. German forces, interpreting the withdrawal as collapse, redirected their summer offensive toward the Ukrainian and Georgian oil fields, capturing Maikop and threatening Grozny by late 1942. Though Baku remained out of reach, the campaign severely disrupted Soviet fuel production, slowing Red Army mobility and offensives through 1943 and 1944. In the Atlantic, Allied codebreakers struggled to break successive Enigma keys, and the Battle of the Atlantic extended into 1944, delaying the Allied buildup in Britain and pushing any cross-Channel invasion to late 1944. By the end of 1944, Germany remained in control of most of continental Europe, and the war had settled into a grinding stalemate on both fronts.
Through 1945, the Allies pressed forward slowly. The Western Allies landed in France in late 1944 but faced attritional warfare in Normandy and the Low Countries, while the Red Army advanced in costly increments across Ukraine and Belarus. Germany, though bombed heavily and starved of resources, continued to fight, its war economy dispersed and its civilian population hardened by years of raid. In the Pacific, the United States advanced toward Japan, capturing islands and preparing for the invasion of the home islands, scheduled for late 1945. The Manhattan Project, delayed by difficulties in isotope separation, reactor problems at Hanford, and the complexity of implosion design, fell months behind schedule. By mid-1946, the first weapons were finally assembled and available for deployment.
The Japanese islands are invaded by US forces in November 1945 in an effort to force the empire to surrender, the country is firebombed and the japanese troops fight even harder for their homeland. The Allies approve the atomic bombing (Little Boy, 15kt) of Hamburg on June 9 1946, leading Germany to surrender within two weeks due the effects of nuclear warfare and total military collapse, the Empire of Japan continues on fighting while deeming the news of such a weapon as Allied propaganda. On June 20th, Kyoto's resistance front is hit by a tactical atomic bomb (Thin Man, 9kt), followed by Kokura (Fat Man, 21kt) in June 23rd. In June 30th 1946, Japan ultimately surrenders upon news of a Soviet northern offensive, bringing the end of WWII.
Cold War (1946-2006)
‘The Betrayal of Voronezh’ got marked in history among war veterans and political circles in the USSR. There starts a proto-nationalist movement, lightly suppressed by the soviet regime. Meanwhile over Saratov, ethnic Tatars and Slavic-Muslims are relocated forcibly after WWII under suspicion of German collaboration, deepening bitterness for the soviet forces in the region.
Europe was then split into Western and Soviet spheres of influence.
Up until the 1960s, multiple transformations happen across Europe and Asia. Namely the US occupation of Japan (1945-1989), the founding of NATO in 1949 in western Europe, the alignment of Eastern Europe with the Warsaw Pact in 1955. The decolonisation of Africa begins in the early 50s after weakened European powers partially retract their forces. The Chinese Civil War concluded with the establishment of the Popular Republic of China, and the Korean War (1950-1953) solidified the division of the peninsula and accelerated the growth of the American national security state.
After several soviet ultimatums, the west refuses to leave West Germany, leading to the construction of the Berlin Wall in 1961, the Western Allies protest but do not intervene.
With the forced resigning of Brezhnev in favor of Kosygin in 1969, the USSR invests heavily into consumer electronics, computing, and automation for civilian use. Becoming a major international player in the digital market and computer education, funds partially go to the soviet space program in favor of propaganda launches with the GAYA project. A civilian-scientific module added to the MIR, with quarterly launches sending university projects and crew to space. Political shift into pragmatic socialism. The USSR funds and supports a client regime in Afghanistan, refusing full scale deployment during the crisis. The USSR lifts censorship in technical, academic, and artistic circles — allowing a controlled form of openness. Starting with the launching of NAROSET, the soviet internet-equivalent in 1988.
In 1989 with heightened tensions in the Middle East and Europe, the US withdraws troops from Japan, leaving behind a tri-party democratic system between the LDP, DPP, and the JCP, and the minor Sanseito movement.
In 1990 the USSR rebrands itself as the 'Eurasian Socialist Federation' (ESF) during a soft collapse, suffering a recession due its direct involvement in the Gulf War siding with Iraq, later forcing Saddam to step out in exchange for oil concessions, the conflict ends with a divided country between the US and ESF forces. The Berlin Wall is teared down in November 1990 as gesture of openess with the West, Germany unites as Greater Germany after soviet partial east territorial concessions under the terms of soviet-tied industrialization and commerce of the region. Greater Germany remains a neutral country throughout the Cold War, playing both the US and ESF off each other.
ESF-proxied Iraq leads to further destabilization of the region, due to insurgent supply chains. The US and the ESF both invest heavily in remote reconnaissance and semi-autonomous strike drones as a way to avoid direct escalation with each other. The civilian internet worldwide is growing, but intertwined with military research. The war has exhausted most of its foreign power and will to fight, seen with voiced will to withdraw from several member states during the gulf war. A few strong soviet foreign policies, included nuclear assistance deals signed with Brazil, Iran, and India in the early 90s in order to threaten the US and Israeli influence in the regions, setting the stage for future regional allied powers.
The US put Brazil under and threatened its south-american allies with sanctions in an attempt to disarm negotiations in 1992. In late 1993, an assassination attempt on President Itamar Franco, allegedly backed by American interests, sought to derail the Plano Real reforms and prevent Brazil from emerging as a ESF-aligned economic competitor.
The Cold War would extend well into the early years of the 21st century, dividing the world's political, technological and cultural spheres into soviet or american influences. Particularly in computer and automation systems used in weapons development, communications and satellite networks. On September 11th 1999, a highly coordinated cyberattack to the United States and British computer infrastructure pushes NATO powers into the Middle East against the ESF's proxy powers. This chaotic condition ripens the development and deployment of autonomous platforms of all kinds on both sides.
In 2001 the US passes an emergency legislation that would later become the ‘Artificial Intelligence Control Act’. AI and advanced automation systems are classified as dual-use technology, just like nuclear or chemical weapons, in order to better control which agents become capable of deploying them against the US and its allies.
In 2006, the drawn-out conflicts worldwide exhaust the ESF’s economy and image, also staining further development in computing for smart-systems due the war stigma. The ESF economy crashes, and the assembly dissolves in their formative states as members withdraw. The Iraq Civil War still happens as the US is still fighting sectarian Shia and Sunni armed groups, former ESF federations and Russia’s proxies, Russia joins in to defend its buffer zones but its influence in the region decreases exponentially.
Post-Cold War (2006-2020)
By 2010 the multipolar world is under stress, China sponsors India, Brazil, South Africa, and floods the market with their ‘IBSA’ economic coalition as a response to the March 2009 American Housing market crash. Russia fades into regional power despite its strong ties with the Brazilian energy industry, suspected capability is widely assumed by now after failure to comply in scheduled inspections, excused as ‘too troublesome’ during a political scandal period. The US cannot justify sanctions against Brazil or its allies without losing trade with the Mercosur needed for its meat and soy. Internet presence is fragmented and tied to national identity worldwide, despite American and European efforts to connect it and surveil it, there is no unified mass social media but local ones, and Wikipedia never arises as we know it. Warfare AI research goes dark under shell corporations and dual-use projects.
In 2017 after decades of attrition Russia officially invades Ukraine with support of Russian sympathizers in the country. The operation is a military disaster in terms of strategic accomplishments due the Russian army's outdated army doctrine and a public reeling for the end of Russian conflicts across the world. Yet, it managed to annex the region of Crimea for its strategic ports to the black sea. The US and European countries send incentives to Ukraine so they can fight — no one wants conflict with a nuclear-armed Russia and mainly one that can threaten European natural gas and oil lines. The conflict drags on for multiple years. Meanwhile, Saudi Arabia failed to contain Yemeni rebels despite American incentives in the form of outdated bombs and semi-autonomous weapons, and they took over Yemen, becoming a dangerous state in the region with strong ties to Iran's sphere of influence.
In the 2020s, there is major isolation in economic and political spheres worldwide dealing with foreign firmware, OS, and hardware. Exporting computer platforms becomes expensive and daring endeavors, computing markets are mostly proprietary in major world blocs. The UN votes on a treaty on AI Non-Proliferation based on the guidelines of the American AICA. Further fueling the stigma of autonomous smart systems of any kind, the word itself becomes taboo, historically associated with destruction and terrorism. Civilian companies pivot towards “dumb automation”, deterministic and easily audited systems.
The Millennial Crises (2020-2133)
Around mid 2021 a flu-like pandemic breaks out in east Asia spreading from China to Vietnam, Laos, Indonesia and Japan. Ukraine is condemned internationally after war footage of drone warfare surfaces on the European Interlink (Euro-block internet equivalent, built in 1998). Conversations about the employment of chemical and electronic warfare resurfaces in the world forums, this and other war crimes being committed by both sides quickly sinks foreign support for Ukraine and Russia, quickly turning the Donbas region into a terror quagmire as the Russian forces rush to modernize and illegally test drone warfare, in an attempt to improve national PR and avoid military casualties.
In 2027, an American-British joint manned mission to Mars happens. Space-age development has never fully faded, the technology designed for weapons delivery heavily influenced delivery and maintenance of onboard systems, making it possible to put three women on Mars by October 2029 for a five-day scientific mission.
In 2030 conflicts between the US, Israel and Iran causes soaring oil prices, putting Brazil and Venezuela ahead of the oil market as alternate suppliers competing directly with US oil. US makes moves to bar Venezuelan oil through harsher sanctions but Brazil backs with a floor-price tag or else it will retaliate economically. Venezuela becomes the south-american backfoot of the Brazilian economy as China imports its oil. France and Spain pull up a joint operation in Iraq, Syria and Lebanon to relieve the pressure on Iran and try to persuade it into suspending its naval blockade, this shatters European cohesion but alleviates economic pressure, as civilians now start buying in Spanish and French goods to have access to the external market. Brazil is pushed to hold-off American plans to start a bombing campaign in Iran under peacekeeping tones, and offers a joint exploration of Venezuelan oil, but it might take the result of the 2030 elections to be officialized.
By 2047 the West returns to Mars, this time with a semi-permanent scientific facility after almost two decades of delays and planning. The first stage out of three to start a base near the landing site of the Spirit rover is due to arrive in November 2047. The east and south blocs feel excluded despite minor software and hardware compromises with the mission. Plan out their own endeavor towards the landing site of Opportunity. Europeans will play a big part in the American mission, but France and Germany both voice plans to explore Mars’ western hemisphere around Valles Marineris in the future.
By 2050, Consumer level AI development initiatives resurface. The public is skeptical but willing to experiment with its gradual implementation. The south-american bloc seems to suffer a major recession due Brazilian involvement in the Rainforest Wars in West Africa, fighting French and Belgian influence in the region, supplying weapons and naval support to rebel forces and regime changes, sealing deals in Real. Venezuelan and Argentinian economies start to crack as economic opponents start to sanction Brazil and its allies.
In 2074 the ULARs initiative happens, a temporary alliance, the Union of Latino-American Republics, is created as an extension of the ALCA to save South Americans from further recession, led by Brazil. Essentially creating an EU-like bloc, with soft borders, organized international peacekeeping and freer economy.
In 2087 a domestic terrorist attack detonates a stolen 60kt nuclear weapon in San Francisco bay, California. The ongoing investigation and toll in the US economy causes a minor civil war between ultranationalists and moderate Americans that has threatened to split the country. This event was also used to excuse extensive vigilance and political violence of and against its citizens and enemies, particularly latino immigrants and ULARs – but also lead to the increased security and further non-proliferation policies of the US and its allies from that decade forward. This also pushes the United States autonomous systems industry into
In 2099, the Federation of United Nations was founded as an off-world para-military and semi-governmental organization, by Russia, China, France and the United States — their goals? Split the heavens between them. Later joined by the UAE, Bharat, Greater Germany, Portugal, Kuwait up until 2140, and later Saratovia in 2189 after it gained independence from Russia in 2119. This marks the rupture of the third-world bloc to essentially North vs South.
The ULARs' original expiration date arrived in 2104, but no one wanted to pull back from the interlinked system of culture and economy. Stepping back on it wasn't realistically viable without sacrificing the progress made. The regional governments of South America united into a single major state through the Treaty of Caracas in 2108, sharing borders only with Honduras, which refused the offer. The ULARs is the only country in the world with essentially three capitals, Brasília for the internal affairs, Caracas for the exports to the west and Europe, and Santiago for the east and south.
In 2133, the Five Treaties for Peaceful uses of Space are re-written to accommodate space exploration and privatized efforts for a human presence beyond Earth. This immediately expands the number of private investments into space, namely Venus, Mars, Titan, Enceladus, and Europa.
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